Recommendation: Buy
| Entry Date | Symbol | Recommendation | Entry Price (USD) | Target 1 (USD) | Target 2 (USD) | Holding Duration | Position Status | Return(%)* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 25 | TLRY | Buy | USD 1.22 | USD 1.29 | USD 1.35 | 4 days | Closed |
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*Return(%) represent the percentage change between the entry price and exit price of the recommendation.
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Tilray Brands, Inc. engages in the research, cultivation, processing, and distribution of medical cannabis products in Canada, the United States, Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Latin America, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Cannabis Business, Distribution Business, Beverage Alcohol Business, and Wellness Business. It also offers medical and adult-use cannabis products; purchases and resells pharmaceutical and wellness products; and produces, markets, sells, and distributes beverage alcohol products, and hemp-based food and other wellness products. In addition, the company offers its products under the Tilray, Aphria, Broken Coast, Symbios, B!NGO, The Batch, Dubon, Good Supply, Solei, Chowie Wowie, Canaca, RIFF, SweetWater, Breckenridge Distillery, Alpine Beer Company, and Green Flash brands. It sells its products to retailers, wholesalers, patients, physicians, hospitals, pharmacies, researchers, and governments, as well as direct to consumers. The company was formerly known as Tilray, Inc. and changed its name to Tilray Brands, Inc. in January 2022. Tilray Brands, Inc. is headquartered in Leamington, Canada.
Return to Profitability: The company achieved a positive net income of USD 1.5 million in Q1 FY2026, compared to a net loss of USD 34.7 million in Q1 FY2025 — a USD 36.2 million improvement
Revenue Expansion: Total net revenue rose 5% to USD 209.5 million in Q1 FY2026 from USD 200.0 million in Q1 FY2025
Gross Margin Compression: Gross margin declined 300 basis points to 27% in Q1 FY2026 from 30% in Q1 FY2025
Decline in Beverage Segment Profitability: Beverage gross profit decreased 7% to USD 21.3 million from USD 22.9 million, with gross margin falling from 41% to 38%
Tilray’s growth remains exposed to regulatory uncertainties and delays in obtaining cannabis import/export permits across key international markets, which could adversely impact revenue realization and expansion plans
| Entry Price | Support* | Target 1** | Target 2** |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | 1.04 | 1.29 | 1.35 |
Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt
*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.
**Target prices may vary by ±0.5% depending on market volatility.
Revenue Growth and Portfolio Diversification: Tilray Brands, Inc. reported a steady increase in consolidated net revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, underscoring the company’s resilience and diversified business model. Total net revenue rose by approximately 5% year-over-year to USD 209.5 million, compared to USD 200.0 million in the corresponding quarter of the prior fiscal year. This growth was driven by strength in the cannabis and distribution segments, supported by expanding product reach across key markets. The revenue mix continues to demonstrate Tilray’s strategic emphasis on diversification across cannabis, beverages, wellness, and distribution, providing a balanced foundation for sustainable growth.
Segmental Performance and Market Expansion: The cannabis segment delivered 5% growth, achieving net revenue of USD 64.5 million, fueled by higher adult-use sales in Canada and continued traction in international medical cannabis channels. The distribution business recorded 9% growth, generating USD 74.0 million, supported by increased order volumes and improved European logistics. The wellness segment also contributed positively, with revenue rising 3% to USD 15.2 million, driven by consumer preference for natural and health-focused products. In contrast, beverage segment revenue remained largely stable at USD 55.7 million, reflecting ongoing product rationalization and timing impacts from the company’s restructuring initiatives under Project 420.
Profitability and Cost Rationalization: While top-line growth remained positive, Tilray experienced moderate margin contraction due to product mix changes. Gross profit decreased slightly to USD 57.5 million from USD 59.7 million in the prior-year period, with the gross margin declining to 27% from 30%. This reduction was largely attributed to lower-margin product categories within the cannabis and distribution portfolios. Nevertheless, the company achieved significant cost efficiencies through disciplined expense management, as total operating expenses declined by approximately 42% to USD 55.4 million, compared to USD 96.3 million a year earlier. The decline was primarily driven by lower amortization, restructuring, and transaction-related costs.
Operational Turnaround and Earnings Recovery: Tilray achieved a meaningful turnaround in profitability during the quarter. The company reported net income of USD 1.5 million, a substantial improvement from the net loss of USD 34.7 million reported in the prior-year quarter. The improvement of over USD 36 million was primarily the result of reduced operating expenses, favorable fair value adjustments, and lower non-recurring charges. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA rose 9% year-over-year, reflecting continued operational improvements and enhanced cost discipline across the organization.
Strengthened Financial Position and Liquidity: Tilray maintained a robust balance sheet and liquidity position, with cash and cash equivalents of USD 264.8 million as of August 31, 2025, compared to USD 205.2 million in the same quarter of the previous fiscal year. The company’s working capital position improved, and total liabilities declined to USD 562.0 million, reflecting reduced contingent obligations and disciplined debt management. Positive operating cash flow during the quarter, following prior-year outflows, signified improved financial efficiency and stronger cash conversion capabilities, providing flexibility for future strategic investments and debt servicing.
Strategic Initiatives and Market Outlook: Tilray continues to advance its long-term strategy centered on portfolio optimization, operational efficiency, and international market expansion. The company is investing in innovation to strengthen its cannabis and beverage offerings, while expanding its footprint in Europe through partnerships and regulatory alignment. Ongoing integration of acquired assets such as Craft Acquisition II is expected to deliver meaningful synergies in subsequent quarters, enhancing cost structures and margin recovery. Management remains focused on achieving profitability and reinforcing Tilray’s position as a global leader in the cannabis and consumer packaged goods sectors.
In summary, Tilray Brands demonstrated tangible progress in operational execution and financial recovery in the first quarter of fiscal 2026. Despite modest margin pressure, the company’s ability to deliver revenue growth, achieve profitability, and improve liquidity reflects sound strategic management and effective cost containment. With a diversified portfolio, strengthened capital structure, and expanding global presence, Tilray is positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities in both cannabis and wellness markets, while maintaining a prudent and disciplined approach to growth.
Considering recent key business, financial updates, current trading levels, and key business risks, a ‘Buy’ recommendation has been given on Tilray Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ: TLRY) at the current market price of USD 1.22, as on Nov 06,2025 at 10:05 am PST.
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Sector: Healthcare Industry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
| Company | Change (USD) | Price (USD) | Trailing PE (x) | Forward PE (x) | Price Sales TTM (x) | Price to Book Value (x) | Enterprise Value to Revenue (x) | Enterprise Value to EBITDA (x) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLRY Tilray Inc |
0.28 3.83% | 7.72 | - | 1000.00 | 1.90 | 0.42 | 2.24 | -12.9534 |
| ZTS Zoetis Inc |
-2.49 1.99% | 122.45 | 40.18 | 30.96 | 10.67 | 17.60 | 11.27 | 26.18 |
| MKKGY Merck KGaA ADR |
-0.91 3.05% | 28.96 | 21.25 | 14.93 | 3.10 | 2.14 | 3.60 | 12.98 |
| MKGAF MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien |
- -% | 150.82 | 21.73 | 14.95 | 3.16 | 2.15 | 3.56 | 12.82 |
| TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR |
-0.065 0.37% | 17.43 | 32.67 | 11.53 | 0.01 | 0.87 | 0.02 | 0.07 |
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.
Related Risks: This report may be looked at from high-risk perspective and recommendations are provided are for a short duration. Recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.
Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels as on November 6, 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.
Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.
Note 4: StockNextt reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from REFINITIV or Trading View. Typically, REFINITIV or Trading View may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 15-20 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.
Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.
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