Recommendation: Buy
| Entry Date | Symbol | Recommendation | Entry Price (USD) | Target 1 (USD) | Target 2 (USD) | Holding Duration | Position Status | Return(%)* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct, 25 | MP | Buy | USD 87.56 | USD 95.0 | USD 103.0 | Same day | Closed |
13.41%
|
*Return(%) represent the percentage change between the entry price and exit price of the recommendation.
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
MP Materials Corp., together with its subsidiaries, produces rare earth materials. The company owns and operates the Mountain Pass Rare Earth mine and processing facility in North America. It holds the mineral rights to the Mountain Pass mine and surrounding areas, as well as intellectual property rights related to the processing and development of rare earth minerals. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Robust Revenue Expansion: MP Materials Corp. demonstrated strong top-line growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, as total revenue surged by 84% year over year to USD 57.4 million (Q2FY25) from USD 31.3 million (Q2FY24)
Significant Improvement in Adjusted EBITDA: The company’s Adjusted EBITDA improved by 54%, narrowing the loss to USD (12.5) million (Q2FY25) from USD (27.1) million (Q2FY24)
Rising Operating Expenses: Operating costs and expenses rose significantly by 19% year over year, increasing to USD 101.3 million (Q2FY25) from USD 84.8 million (Q2FY24)
Decline in Rare Earth Concentrate Revenue: Revenue from rare earth concentrate experienced a sharp contraction of 51% year over year, declining to USD 11.9 million (Q2FY25) from USD 24.4 million (Q2FY24)
MP Materials faces concentration and execution risk arising from its strategic transition toward downstream rare earth processing and magnet manufacturing, where operational scalability, market pricing volatility, and dependence on U.S. government partnerships could materially impact future profitability.
| Entry Price | Support* | Target 1** | Target 2** |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87.56 | 78.4 | 95.0 | 103.0 |
Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt
*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.
**Target prices may vary by ±0.5% depending on market volatility.
MP’s stock price has established support at key levels and is trending upward, indicating the possibility of further gains in the near term. The 14-period RSI stays above the midpoint, reflecting short-term buying strength. Additionally, the stock remains well above its 21-period and 50-period simple moving averages; maintaining these levels could trigger a bullish acceleration. As long as the price stays above these crucial support zones and continues its upward momentum, technical signals suggest a higher likelihood of an upcoming rally.
As per the above-mentioned price action, recent key business and financial updates, momentum in the stock over the last month, and technical indicators analysis, a ‘Buy’ rating has been given to MP Materials Corp. (NYSE: MP) at its current market price of USD 87.56 as of October 13, 2025 (6:45 am PDT).
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Other Industrial Metals & Mining
| Company | Change (USD) | Price (USD) | Trailing PE (x) | Forward PE (x) | Price Sales TTM (x) | Price to Book Value (x) | Enterprise Value to Revenue (x) | Enterprise Value to EBITDA (x) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MP MP Materials Corp |
5.47 9.25% | 64.58 | - | 24.10 | 18.57 | 3.21 | 18.99 | 294.07 |
| BHP BHP Group Limited |
3.32 4.78% | 72.71 | 13.32 | 11.30 | 3.15 | 3.88 | 3.35 | 6.30 |
| BHPLF BHP Group Limited |
- -% | 34.00 | 13.29 | 11.21 | 3.18 | 3.85 | 3.35 | 6.30 |
| RTNTF Rio Tinto Group |
- -% | 107.00 | 17.11 | 11.85 | 2.81 | 2.79 | 2.88 | 7.27 |
| RTPPF Rio Tinto Group |
0.0025 0.0027% | 93.15 | 14.16 | 9.87 | 2.26 | 2.29 | 2.35 | 5.93 |
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.
Related Risks: This report may be looked at from high-risk perspective and recommendations are provided are for a short duration. Recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.
Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels as on October 13, 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.
Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.
Note 4: StockNextt reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from REFINITIV or Trading View. Typically, REFINITIV or Trading View may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 15-20 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.
Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.
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