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Nebius Group N.V.

Recommendation: Buy

Entry Date Symbol Recommendation Entry Price (USD) Target 1 (USD) Target 2 (USD) Holding Duration Position Status Return(%)*
22 Oct, 25 NBIS Buy USD 97.16 USD 102.0 USD 108.0 1 day Closed 14.22%

*Return(%) represent the percentage change between the entry price and exit price of the recommendation.

Fundamentals

  • Previous Close 88.16
  • Market Cap0.00000M
  • Volume8558654
  • P/E Ratio-
  • Dividend Yield-%
  • Revenue TTM-
  • Revenue Per Share TTM-
  • Gross Profit TTM -
  • Diluted EPS TTM-

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Company Overview

Key Positives

Revenue Surge: Group revenue rose 625% YoY to USD 105.1 million, indicating rapid scaling and strong customer adoption

Profitability Improvement: Adjusted EBITDA loss improved by USD 37.1 million, narrowing from USD 58.1 million in Q2 FY2024 to USD 21.0 million in Q2 FY2025, signaling improving operational leverage

Key Negatives

High Capital Expenditure: CAPEX surged to USD 510.6 million, up significantly due to GPU and infrastructure investments, which may strain near-term cash flow

Rising Depreciation Costs: Depreciation and amortization rose from USD 11.4 million to USD 75.2 million, reflecting the financial impact of heavy asset deployment and longer payback cycles

Key Investment Risks

Nebius faces the risk of execution and capital intensity challenges as it rapidly scales its AI infrastructure footprint amid intensifying global competition and dependence on timely GPU supply

Recommendation Summary

Technical Summary

Entry Price Support* Target 1** Target 2**
97.16 86.0 102.0 108.0

Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt

*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.

**Target prices may vary by ±0.5% depending on market volatility.

Key Reasons for Buy

  • Revenue Growth and Market Expansion: Nebius Group reported a substantial increase in financial performance during Q2 FY2025, achieving revenue of USD 105.1 million, marking a 625% year-over-year (YoY) and 106% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) rise. This acceleration was primarily driven by robust customer demand and near-peak utilization of its AI infrastructure platform. The company’s core AI infrastructure business accounted for the majority of this growth, with its annualized run-rate revenue rising to USD 430 million from USD 249 million in the prior quarter. This performance underscores Nebius’ growing dominance in the AI infrastructure market and its ability to monetize expanding AI use cases globally.
  • Operational Efficiency and Profitability Improvement: The company demonstrated significant operational leverage, as reflected in the reduction of costs relative to revenue. Cost of revenue rose by 291% to USD 30.1 million, yet decreased as a share of total revenue from 53% in Q2 FY2024 to 29% in Q2 FY2025, highlighting efficiency gains from scale. Moreover, Nebius’ adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to USD 21.0 million, representing a 64% improvement YoY, driven by profitability in the core AI infrastructure business. The improvement of USD 37.1 million indicates disciplined execution and operating leverage as revenues scaled.
  • Investment in Capacity and Technological Leadership: Nebius continued to invest heavily in capacity expansion, with capital expenditures reaching USD 510.6 million in Q2 FY2025, primarily allocated to GPU acquisitions and data center development. The company aims to achieve 220 MW of connected power by end-2025 and more than 1 GW by end-2026. These investments are central to supporting the growing global demand for AI compute. Additionally, Nebius achieved top-tier MLPerf® Training v5.0 benchmark results, ranking among the leaders in infrastructure performance and scalability, further solidifying its position as a preferred AI cloud provider.
  • Diversification of Customer Base and Ecosystem Development: During the quarter, Nebius diversified its customer portfolio by adding global technology leaders such as Cloudflare, Prosus, and Shopify, alongside numerous AI-native startups like HeyGen, Lightning.AI, and Photoroom. The company’s platform enhancements—such as Managed Slurm, improved cluster reliability, and high-throughput storage solutions—bolstered user experience. Moreover, collaborations with NVIDIA, AnyScale, LightningAI, and BaseTen deepened its ecosystem, enhancing developer accessibility and reinforcing Nebius’ ecosystem-first growth strategy.
  • Expansion of Other Business Units: Beyond its AI infrastructure segment, Nebius’ subsidiary TripleTen delivered strong revenue growth, adding around 6,000 new learners in Q2 and benefiting from AI-enhanced learning tools that improved project completion rates by 35%. Avride, its autonomous delivery arm, scaled pilot operations across U.S. and Japanese cities, progressing toward a commercial launch with Uber later in 2025. These adjacent ventures, though smaller in contribution, position Nebius for diversified revenue streams in high-growth AI and automation markets.
  • Cost Structure and Operating Discipline: Despite rising investments, Nebius demonstrated meaningful improvement in cost discipline. Product development expenses, though up 34% YoY to USD 42.8 million, fell sharply as a percentage of revenue from 221% to 41%, reflecting operating scale efficiencies. Sales, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses declined 10% YoY to USD 68.2 million, dropping from 521% to 65% of revenue due to the absence of one-time legal and consulting costs from the prior year. These metrics collectively underline Nebius’ maturing cost management as it scales globally.
  • Balance Sheet Strength and Strategic Outlook: Nebius ended Q2 FY2025 with USD 1.68 billion in cash, providing ample liquidity to fund its aggressive expansion strategy. The company has raised over USD 4 billion in total capital and continues to explore additional financing options to support its growth trajectory. With its valuation at USD 6 billion following a recent funding round and a raised annualized run-rate revenue forecast to USD 900 million–USD 1.1 billion, Nebius is well-positioned to capitalize on accelerating demand for AI infrastructure. The management anticipates continued growth, backed by scale, ecosystem partnerships, and operational efficiency.

Nebius Group delivered exceptional performance in Q2 FY2025, showcasing strong execution and accelerating momentum across its AI infrastructure business. Revenue surged 625% year-over-year to USD 105.1 million, supported by robust customer demand and near-peak platform utilization, while adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed significantly by USD 37 million, reflecting improved operational efficiency. Backed by USD 1.68 billion in cash and over USD 4 billion in secured capital, Nebius continues to scale aggressively, expanding global data center capacity toward 1 GW by 2026. The company’s growing enterprise clientele, ecosystem partnerships with NVIDIA and leading AI developers, and leadership in performance benchmarks reinforce its position as a frontrunner in next-generation AI infrastructure, providing a compelling growth story underpinned by strong fundamentals and strategic clarity..

As per the above-mentioned price action, recent key business and financial updates, momentum in the stock over the last month, and technical indicators analysis, a ‘Buy’ rating has been given to Nebius Group NV, (NASDAQ: NBIS) at the current market price of USD 97.16 as of Oct 22,2025 at 9:25 am PDT.

Key Financials in Pictures

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Peer Comparison

Sector: Industry:

Company Change (USD) Price (USD) Trailing PE (x) Forward PE (x) Price Sales TTM (x) Price to Book Value (x)
NBIS
Nebius Group N.V.
1.45 1.64% 89.61 - - - -

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Disclosures:

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Related Risks: This report may be looked at from high-risk perspective and recommendations are provided are for a short duration. Recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels as on October 22, 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: StockNextt reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from REFINITIV or Trading View. Typically, REFINITIV or Trading View may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 15-20 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

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