Recommendation: Speculative Buy
| Entry Date | Symbol | Recommendation | Entry Price (USD) | Target 1 (USD) | Target 2 (USD) | Holding Duration | Position Status | Return(%)* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep, 25 | CRML | Speculative Buy | USD 6.78 | USD 7.1 | USD 7.5 | 1 day | Closed |
12.83%
|
*Return(%) represent the percentage change between the entry price and exit price of the recommendation.
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Critical Metals Corp. operates as a mining exploration and development company. It owns interests in the Wolfsberg Lithium Project located in Carinthia, Austria. Critical Metals Corp. is based in New York, New York.
Strong Project Economics: Tanbreez PEA projects a USD 3 billion NPV and USD 18.5 billion pre-tax EBITDA over its mine life
Large Resource Base: Tanbreez holds 4.7 billion metric tonnes of multi-element resource, making it one of the largest REE deposits globally
High Operating Costs: Total operating costs for Tanbreez are projected at USD 8.0 billion, which represents nearly 30% of expected revenues
Limited Current Ownership: CRML presently owns 42% of Tanbreez, with rights to increase ownership up to 92.5% through an additional USD 10 million investment, highlighting a current minority stake
Critical Metals Corp. faces significant execution risk in advancing large-scale projects that, despite attractive economics, require substantial capital investment, regulatory approvals, and successful transition from resource estimates to commercial production
| Entry Price | Support* | Target 1** | Target 2** |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.78 | 6.0 | 7.1 | 7.5 |
Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt
*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.
**Target prices may vary by ±0.5% depending on market volatility.
Strategic Vision: Critical Metals Corp. (NASDAQ: CRML) has positioned itself as a pivotal supplier of critical rare earth elements (REEs) and lithium to Western markets. Its primary ambition is to reduce global reliance on China, which currently controls approximately 97% of rare earth supply. The company’s dual focus on the Greenland-based Tanbreez Rare Earth Project and the Wolfsberg Lithium Project in Austria underscores its strategy to build a secure and sustainable supply chain for the defense and clean energy sectors in the United States and Europe.
Tanbreez Project: Scale and Economics: The Tanbreez Project in Greenland is recognized as one of the world’s largest rare earth deposits, with an exploitation license valid until 2050. Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) findings forecast a Net Present Value (NPV) of approximately USD 3 billion (before tax), an Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of 180%, and cumulative revenues of around USD 26.8 billion over a 25+ year mine life. The projected EBITDA stands at USD 18.5 billion, with a payback period of less than three years, highlighting its compelling economic potential.
Strategic Importance of Tanbreez: The project’s strategic location in Southern Greenland provides direct year-round shipping routes to North American and European markets. Given its 4.7 billion metric tonnes of mineralized resource, including zirconium, niobium, tantalum, hafnium, gallium, and both light and heavy REEs, Tanbreez is well positioned to supply critical inputs for advanced defense technologies such as missiles, radars, and fighter jets, alongside renewable energy applications.
Sustainability and Processing Advantage: Tanbreez is designed as a sustainable operation, with mining conducted via open-pit methods and ore processing reliant on dry magnetic separation, avoiding the use of chemicals. This environmentally responsible approach, supported by hydroelectric energy sources, enhances the project’s attractiveness for governments and industries increasingly focused on sustainable supply chains.
Upside Potential through Exploration: Recent drilling programs at Tanbreez have yielded highly promising results, including the discovery of gallium mineralization with concentrations reaching 147 ppm. This discovery is significant, particularly in light of China’s December 2024 ban on exports of gallium and other critical minerals to the United States. Such findings further strengthen Tanbreez’s role as a vital Western alternative in critical mineral supply.
Wolfsberg Lithium Project: Complementing the Tanbreez development, the Wolfsberg Lithium Project in Austria is expected to become Europe’s first lithium concentrate producer by 2027/2028. With strong infrastructure access and support from the European Battery Alliance, Wolfsberg is strategically located within Europe’s growing EV and battery ecosystem. A long-term offtake agreement with BMW, including a USD 15 million prepayment, provides further commercial validation of the project.
Partnerships and Leadership: CRML has also secured a strategic joint venture with Obeikan Group in Saudi Arabia to build and operate a lithium hydroxide processing facility, fully funded through the JV. Together with a management team experienced in mining development and capital markets, the company has built a strong foundation to advance its projects and capture value in the rapidly expanding critical metals market.
Considering recent key business, financial updates, current trading levels, and key business risks, a ‘Speculative Buy’ recommendation has been given on Critical Metals Corp (NASDAQ: CRML) at the current market price of USD 6.78, as on Sep 25, 2025 at 7:05 am PDT.
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Other Industrial Metals & Mining
| Company | Change (USD) | Price (USD) | Trailing PE (x) | Forward PE (x) | Price Sales TTM (x) | Price to Book Value (x) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRML Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares |
-0.605 7.66% | 7.29 | - | - | - | - | ||
| BHP BHP Group Limited |
0.40 0.68% | 59.02 | 13.32 | 11.30 | 3.15 | 3.88 | 3.35 | 6.30 |
| BHPLF BHP Group Limited |
- -% | 28.48 | 13.29 | 11.21 | 3.18 | 3.85 | 3.35 | 6.30 |
| RTNTF Rio Tinto Group |
- -% | 96.29 | 17.11 | 11.85 | 2.81 | 2.79 | 2.88 | 7.27 |
| RTPPF Rio Tinto Group |
- -% | 75.47 | 14.16 | 9.87 | 2.26 | 2.29 | 2.35 | 5.93 |
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Related Risks: This report may be looked at from high-risk perspective and recommendations are provided are for a short duration. Recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.
Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is September 24,2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.
Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.
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